Why is Entrepreneurial Overconfidence (so) Persistent?
(with Maclean Gaulin and Nathan Seegert)

(Submitted)
Tagline: We conduct a year-long RCT across 1,000 entrepreneurs to show how scientific learning can de-bias overconfidence.

The Rise of Industrial AI in America
(with Kristina McElheran, Erik Brynjolfsson and Zachary Kroff)

Media coverage: NPR, New Yorker, MIT-Sloan-online

(In preparation for submission)
Tagline: As of 2021, we find a robustly negative causal effect of AI on productivity in US manufacturing, followed up a longer-run gains.

Data in Action: Data-Driven Decision Making in U.S. Manufacturing
(with Kristina McElheran and Erik Brynjolfsson) 

(Revise and Resubmit, Management Science)
Tagline: We provide large-sample causal evidence for the positive productivity effects of Data-Driven Decision Making practices in US manufacturing.

Leadership Vacillation
(with James Yen, Jackson Nickerson and Todd Zenger) 

(Revise and Resubmit, Strategic Management Journal)
Tagline: Corporations perform better in the long run if they dynamically vacillate between CEOs that specialize in either growth or profitability at a time.

Unlocking Innovation: How Board Networks Reinforce R&D Spillovers
(with Yang Fan) 

• Media coverage: Columbia Law School Blue Sky Blog

(Under Review)
Tagline: Board networks shape R&D spillovers and how corporations respond to R&D spillovers.

Informative or Actionable? Implementation Constraints and Business Experimentation
(with Nathan Seegert, Orie Shelef and Robert Wuebker) 

(Under Revision)
Tagline: Costs of scaling-up or pivoting a startup impact how and when entrepreneurs should experiment.

Managerial Overconfidence and Dynamic Strategy-Structure (Mis-)Fit

(Under Revision)
Tagline: : Overconfident managers increase strategy-structure misalignment in response to competitive shocks.

Sources of Firm Life-Cycle Dynamics: Age vs Size Effects
(with Lorenz Kueng and Bryan Hong) 

(Reject and Resubmit: Journal of Finance)
Tagline: Life-cycle growth dynamics of firms are driven by growth of startups and not by age effects.

Doing Good rather than Doing Well: What stimulates Personal Data Sharing and Why? 
(with Mac Gaulin, Nate Seegert, Steven Alder, Adam Looney)

(Under Revision)
Tagline:: Using a sequence of RCTs we show that image motivation and identity are an order of magnitude more effective to stimulate personal data sharing than incentives.

Information Revelation of Decentralized Crisis Management: Evidence from Natural Experiments on Mask Mandates
(with Maclean Gaulin, Francisco Navarro-Sanchez and Nate Seegert)

• Pivotal in convincing the Utah state legislature to leave state-wide mask mandates in place in fall 2020.
• Media coverage: The Washington Post, Forbes and CBS

(Under Revision)
Tagline: Mask mandates reduce confirmed cases and can increase economic activity—if they are enforced at a state rather than county level.